Vaughan Real Estate Market Update April 2026
What does March 2026 data tell buyers, sellers, and investors.
Vaughan vs. All TRREB Districts
242 homes sold in March — a +22.8% jump from February. Spring is showing up in the data. Here's how Vaughan compares to the broader GTA.
Vaughan's median is $234,400 higher than the All TRREB median — and that gap hasn't gone away. It reflects the schools, communities, and the simple fact that families want to be here. Average prices are down 9.20% year-over-year in Vaughan — a steeper correction than the broader GTA (-7.41%). If you've been waiting, that's real buying power on the table right now.
All Home Types — March 2026
Vaughan is not one market. Here's what each segment is actually doing.
| Property Type | Sales | Avg. Price | Median Price | Days on Mkt | Sale/List |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detached | 113 | $1,644,854 | $1,450,000 | 28 days | 96% |
| Semi-Detached | 11 | $1,064,318 | $1,055,000 | 45 days | 97% |
| Freehold Townhome ⭐ | 39 | $1,004,356 | $995,000 | 28 days | 98% |
| Condo Townhome | 5 | $621,200 | $615,000 | 16 days | 100% |
| Condo Apartment | 71 | $608,347 | $575,000 | 37 days | 97% |
⭐ March's star performer by demand. Data: TRREB Market Watch, March 2026. All prices in CAD.
The average ($1,644,854) is skewed by luxury sales — most deals close near the $1.45M median. At 96%, that's ~$60K of real negotiating room. Price right and it moves in 28 days.
Only 11 sales — thin supply, predictable pricing. Buyers take their time at this price point (45 DOM). Solid value for anyone who wants freehold without the detached price tag.
Tightest supply in Vaughan. Buyers paying 98% of asking — basically full price. Sellers: strong position. Buyers: be ready to move fast when the right one hits.
Small sample — read as directional. But 100% sale-to-list and 16 days DOM say one thing: when one comes up at $615K, it goes fast and at full price.
405 active listings vs. 71 sales. Most buyer-friendly segment in Vaughan. HPI down 13.72% YoY — real entry opportunity for buyers and investors.
Months of Inventory — Who's in Control?
MOI tells you who has the upper hand. Under 4 months = sellers' market. 4–6 months = balanced. Over 6 months = buyers' market.
Vaughan sits at 5.3 months — slightly more supply than the broader TRREB market (4.9). So Vaughan buyers actually have more breathing room than most of the GTA right now. Month-over-month barely moved (5.4 → 5.3). But here's the thing — new listings across all TRREB districts are down 16.7% year-over-year. Supply is quietly shrinking. That's what changes the picture.
What's Driving the Market Right Now
Five factors shaping what buyers and sellers are doing in Vaughan right now.
New GST + HST Rebates — What It Means for Resale
The federal and Ontario governments recently introduced significant tax rebates on new homes. Here's what they are — and how they affect the resale market.
- Federal rebate: Eliminates the 5% GST on newly built homes up to $1M for first-time buyers — saving up to $50,000
- Ontario rebate: Full rebate of the 8% provincial HST on new homes up to $1M for first-time buyers
- Combined savings: Up to $130,000 on a qualifying new build
- Phases out gradually between $1M and $1.5M
- Applies to new construction and substantially renovated homes
- Resale homes — not subject to GST/HST, so no rebate applies
- Move-up buyers purchasing their second home
- Investors (non-primary residence purchases)
- New homes purchased above $1.5M
- Homes where the purchase agreement was signed before May 27, 2025
Resale impact in plain English: Freehold resale is largely unaffected — new freehold builds in Vaughan routinely exceed $1.5M, putting them outside the rebate window. Condos feel it most — some first-time buyers who would have bought resale may now favour a new build for the $130K saving. If you own or are shopping for a resale condo, factor this in. Call me to talk through your options.
What This Means for You
Pick your tab. Here's the honest read.
- Less competition. No panic-buying pressure. You can make offers with conditions and actually do your due diligence.
- More time. 31 days average DOM means time for inspections, legal review, and proper financing — not a rushed decision.
- Real buying power. Prices are down 9.20% year-over-year, rates are in the 4–5% range, and inventory is balanced. That combination is rare — and it won't hold indefinitely.
- Know your segment. Freehold townhomes (tightest supply, 98% sale-to-list) and condo apartments (most inventory, -13.72% HPI) are completely different markets. Strategy has to match.
- The window is open — but not forever. New listings across all TRREB districts are down 16.7% year-over-year. Supply is quietly shrinking. Act on data, not headlines.
- Price right from day one. Today's buyers are informed. Overpriced homes don't get negotiated — they get ignored.
- 96–98% of asking is still achievable. The market isn't broken. It just requires accuracy — not optimism — on the listing price.
- Presentation matters more than ever. Professional photos, staging, and smart digital marketing separate sold listings from stale ones.
- Condo sellers: get your numbers right first. HPI is down 13.72% year-over-year in the condo segment. A data-backed CMA before you list is non-negotiable.
- Freehold townhome sellers: this is your market. Tightest supply in Vaughan, strongest demand, highest sale-to-list ratio. A well-priced freehold townhome moves.
- Condo correction = entry point. HPI down 13.72% year-over-year. Vaughan's long-term demand drivers — immigration, young professionals, population growth — haven't changed.
- Carrying costs are more manageable. 5-year fixed in the 4–5% range is a real improvement over the 2023–24 peak. Cash flow math is better now.
- GST/HST rebate: new builds now up to $130K cheaper. Worth running the numbers on new construction vs. resale for your next acquisition.
- Watch the supply pipeline. TRREB has flagged the GTA supply pipeline as at-risk medium term. Less new supply + recovering demand = tighter conditions ahead.
- You're still in a strong equity position. Even after the correction, Vaughan homeowners hold significantly more value than pre-2020 — and the city's $234,400 premium over the GTA median remains intact.
- Check your mortgage renewal timing. With rates down from the 2023–24 peak, even a small improvement on renewal can mean hundreds per month.
- Planning to upsize or downsize? A balanced market means more time to plan — no pressure, no panic. This is a good environment for a strategic move.
Where in Vaughan Are You Looking?
Vaughan covers a wide range of communities — and each one has its own price points, buyer profile, and market conditions. Here's a quick orientation.
Each neighbourhood tells a different story. If you want a neighbourhood-specific breakdown — whether you're buying in Woodbridge, selling in Vellore Village, or investing in Concord — call or text me directly at 416-830-8305. I work across all of Vaughan and the GTA, and I'll give you the real local read.
Where the Vaughan Market Is Headed
Four signals from the March data worth paying attention to.
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01Supply Is Shrinking — BroadlyNew listings across all TRREB districts are down 16.7% year-over-year. This isn't just a Vaughan story — fewer sellers are listing across the GTA. Less supply + returning demand = tighter market conditions ahead.
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02Inventory Is Holding — For NowMOI moved from 5.4 to 5.3 — barely a tick. Not dramatically tightening yet. But markets rarely signal their turning points before they happen. The setup is there.
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03Better Rates Are Expanding the Buyer Pool5-year fixed rates at 4–5% are meaningfully better than the 2023–24 peak. Every improvement in affordability brings more qualified buyers off the sidelines — and more buyers means more competition.
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04The Correction Is Creating the OpportunityVaughan's average price is already down 9.20% year-over-year. Declining supply, improving rates, and lower prices — that's the same setup that preceded past recoveries. Buyers who move before confidence fully returns tend to benefit most.
I've watched this market through multiple cycles. The buyers and investors who act on the data — not the headlines — are the ones who look back and say they got the timing right. Let's talk about your situation.
Numbers are just numbers until
someone connects them to your situation.
I'm Raj Bajwa — real estate broker with RE/MAX Experts, based in Vaughan. I've been helping buyers, sellers, and investors navigate this market for over 15 years. Whether you're buying your first home in Concord, selling in Woodbridge, or investing in Vellore Village — let's build a strategy around your specific goals. No pressure. Just real advice backed by real data.
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Frequently Asked Questions About
Vaughan Real Estate
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Data Source: TRREB Market Watch — March 2026 | All figures in Canadian dollars (CAD) | Verified: April 2026
This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or legal advice. Past market performance does not guarantee future results. Consult a licensed real estate broker for advice specific to your situation.